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No Shopping Sundays

Greetings!

Happy Saturday morning. I wanted to share with folks an interesting idea that my sister is starting to implement in her family.

My twin sis and her husband are starting a no shopping Sunday policy. This basically means that they will plan their week around not having to grocery shop, or shop in general. While obviously there may be occasional times when something must be purchased, most of the time this can likely be avoided.

They are leaving the option open to spending for entertainment, but living in beautiful Portland, Oregon there are many a free activities to be had in the beautiful outdoors.

While they tend to have a nice home cooked meal for dinner, they may have to sort out brunch, as I know they enjoy this pleasure from time to time. Since this policy is more about spending time together as a family and less about the absence of spending money, then brunch might get a pass.

The upsides to this, means eliminating a day of shopping or running associated errands. It also means avoiding long grocery lines and best yet, spending time with family.

I’m still sorting out if this is reasonable for us to try as well. Overall we definitely have more of an urban lifestyle, stopping by the market on the way home or running out to the corner store as needed. It can be a great way to live frugally, as you tend to only buy what you need. This allows you to save more money for investments. I also tend to be so busy that some times it is harder to manage to get grocery shopping done earlier in the week. Though I’d have to say that with the short lines on Saturday afternoon that might just save enough time to make it worth while.

I’ll let folks know how it works for my sister’s family as well as our potentially. Overall I think it is a great way to reject consumerism and focus on what is really important once a week.

Cheers,

Miel

Bank Failure Friday

As sad testimony to the state of the Nation’s economic affairs, the FDIC is sending out their weekly list of banks that have failed.

This week brings us news that the four following institutions have bit the dust:

1) Community Bank of West Georgia, Villa Rica, Georgia.

2) Neighborhood Community Bank, Newnan, Georgia.

3) Horizon Bank, Pine City, Minnesota.

4) MetroPacific Bank, Irvine, California.

Rest In Peace.

Best,

James

Millionares Decline by 15%

Evenly, the recession is effecting even the super rich.

The Wall Street Journal’s blog has a nice write up of why the numbers of super rich are declining.

For what its worth, one way to get serious about building wealth is to model ones behavior after the patterns of people who do have money. One thing they tend to do is look for money making opportunities. It’s a great habit to get into, and we as DINKS try to do it often. Keeping an eye on the investment and spending trends of the wealthy is an important part of this.

Best,

James

Redesign of Flexible Spending Accounts


Most Americans are pretty familiar with Flexible Spending Accounts, designed by the government to provide some tax relief for health and child care related expenses. While this intervention seems understandable on the outset, there are a great many of the actual details related to FSAs that aren’t geared towards benefiting consumers.

Use it or Lose it. By far the biggest issue around FSAs is the stipulation that funds must be used within the annual year established by your employer or health care provider. This means that you are forced to spend what you’ve elected for deductions, otherwise this money goes into a great FSA abyss.

Predetermined Limits. While these are set by individuals, one must decide before the beginning of the program year how much they will need to deduct. This means getting out the crystal ball for your family’s health care needs and predicting what you will spend for the year. Obviously there is the likelihood of either over or under estimating this depending on whether your expenses were less than expected, or a medical issue came up part way through the year.

No Flexibility. Despite what the name implies, should you discover part way through the year that your expenses might be more or less than expected, you have no ability to change course once you’ve decided on your deductions for the year.

Geared towards Pharmaceutical Industry. Since it is a use or loose system, this means that hundreds of thousands of dollars are spent by those who have elected to deduct too much. They end up buying life time supplies of bandaids and Costco sizes of cough syrup.

An example of how this all goes wrong in the system can be seen by my dear twin sister. Since my sister was pregnant at the time of her annual elections, she estimated what her expenses would be for a hospital birth. As it happened, they ended up opting for a home birth where there was actually not a dime out of pocket for the delivery from trained midwives. While a great experience and outcome on the one side, this has left my sis with $2k worth of FSA that she has to spend before her annual plan soon comes to a close. Not enough to consider lasik surgery, she is left with buying glasses she isn’t really in need of and stocking up on medical supplies. Obviously this is better than sending her hard earned money back to the feds, where this goes we still don’t know, but it isn’t a good option.

On the flip side, if one gets pregnant right after their annual election period, that means they would not be able to deduct any of their expenses.

Childcare Expenses. Another part of FSAs are for childcare related expenses. While I’m not as familiar with all of the issues around this, I am aware that the maximum limits set for $5k annually, when the average is $8k with many paying closer to $20k. Obviously this is outdated and needs to be updated according to reasonable limits and then adjusted for inflation.

Redesign. My main suggestion for FSAs, which is really a no brainer, is to establish a truly flexible spending account system for health care expenses where one could put a little away at a time and then have those expenses available for anyone within the family years out into the future. I believe that this would save the health system a great deal of resources, as well as cut back on the difficulty faced by so many with unexpected or high health care expenses.

Readers: If you have experiences or suggestions around FSAs we would love to hear them.

In Good Health,

Miel

Some Drawbacks of Mutual Funds – Revisited

Hi All,

I’m swamped preparing for my comprehensive exams. Rather than bore you with a discussion of probability distributions and link functions, I thought I’d hit on one of my older, but favorite posts. So, without further ado, here are my thoughts on mutual funds…

I’m not a fan of actively managed traditional mutual funds. While these products have done very well for millions of Americans, its been my experience that they have numerous drawbacks.

Lets discuss two of the usually touted advantages of mutual funds: 1) professional management and 2) diversification.

1) Professional Management Can be Overrated:

The main idea behind turning over one’s finances to a professional is that through superior education and experience, the professional will be better able to make financial decisions than the average consumer. There are several problems with this.

Mutual fund performance falls out like a bell curve. If you took statistics in college (or high school), you know what a bell curve looks like. If not, it looks like the figure below:

What this means is that some funds are at the tail end of the curves, e.g. their return is really good, or their returns are really lame, depending on the manager. Most of the funds are somewhere in the middle (e.g. in the “same as others area”.

This is all well and good, but its important to keep in mind that funds are judged relative to market indices like the S&P 500 or the Russell 2000. For example, the graph’s mean score would be the past 12 months return from the S&P 500.

If most funds are yielding market performance, then imposition of fees means that most funds are automatically moved towards the lame end of the bell curve (the definitely less than others part of the curve). Think about it for a minute. If your fund gives you market performance, say 11%, and you loose 2% in fees then your effective yield is 9 percent. At 9% you are automatically underperforming the market. Lame.

Don’t think that because you have a no-load fund you aren’t paying fees. Fees are like death and taxes, there is no way around them. The only questions is how much you’ll pay.

The long and the short of this is due to the realities of market performance coupled with fees, professional management can be overrated.

2) Diversification Means You Will NEVER hit a Home Run:

This second point is critical. If you invest exclusively in mutual funds, you will never, never, never get Peter Lynch’s ten bagger stock. Your fund may do well, but you’ll never hit a stock like Microsoft or Dell or Home Depot that gains 400% or 500% over a few years.

Now, most people will never catch one of these stocks on the upswing. But, ask yourself this, if you are going to expose yourself to the risks of the stock market, why not give yourself the chance to become truly wealthy? Why settle for being just average? You can create significant wealth in a relatively short period of time if you did try to spot one of these stocks. But it goes both ways as you could be wiped clean.

3) Corruption and Lack of Transparency:

For what its worth, the mutual fund industry is still relatively new. Its really only been around since the 1970s. What this means is that mutual funds aren’t as heavily regulated as older investments like stocks and bonds. For example, since the 1930’s there have been several waves of scandals and subsequent regulatory tightening relating to the trading of stocks. This just hasn’t happened yet for the mutual fund industry. I think this relatively unregulated atmosphere is why the recent late trading scandal related to Putnam investments occurred.

Lack of transparency is also an issue here. How many people do you know who can quickly tell you how the unit price of mutual fund shares is determined? It requires some specialized knowledge and probably the use of computer to aid calculation. Stocks are easier, just look in the newspaper or check your issue on-line.

Scandal and lack of transparency are drawbacks, but my personal feeling is that most people are generally honest, so these are secondary points. The two major drawbacks are the performance and diversification issues mentioned here.

Best,

James

P.s. To be fair, I should tell you that I signed onto to be a participant in a class action lawsuit against Smith Barney’s aggressive growth fund. I was a holder of a limited number of shares of this fund in 2002 and 2003.

P.s.s. I own shares in the S&P 500 index fund.

Cash4Gold Still Really Sleazy

Hi All,

Yesterday we linked to a story detailing an insider’s description of cash4gold’s sleazy business practices. Well, the consumerist is now reporting that cash4gold offered a blogger $3,000 to remove a post detailing the criminally low prices cash4gold was offering.

Click here for the story.

Best,

James

Banking Salaries Go Marching On…

Sometimes I think I’m in the wrong business. No matter how you cut it, Wall Street seems to make out like bandits.

The latest news is that Citigroup is increasing its base salaries for traders and investment bankers by 50% (here). They don’t exactly operate the same way personal finance does where we stress “live frugally” and “build wealth.” After the near 90% wipeout of its common equity, these salary raises are another incredible chapter in a disgraceful story.

Best,

James

What Works: Buy stocks and start a business

The thing about personal finance bloggers is that we get caught up in the day to day trivialities of running a blog and sometimes forget about good content. In my view the purpose of blogging should partly be about communicating the best way to build wealth. While we DINKS are certainly not experts when it comes to making money, there are two things we have done which have put cash in our pockets.

1) We’ve bought and held high quality stocks. For example, we bought shares in Starbucks (SBUX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM). Holding onto both of our positions in these companies brought us gains in excess of 20%. In the case of XOM, we’ve seen a 40% appreciation in the value of our shares. We hit it big with Hansen’s Natural Corp (HANS), and made pre-tax profits in excess of 50%. Of course, we’ve seen plenty of looses, but the buy-and-hold strategy has worked for us.

2) We started a small business. My wife and I have an efficiency condo unit that we rent out. Real estate has been a love hate experience with us. We tried to expand into a multi-family building two years ago, but sold the property. On the other hand, our condo unit has added thousands of dollars to our networth and allowed us to significantly build our wealth. The final point here is that the rental unit is basically a small business, we have one customer to whom we provide housing and utilities in return for rental payments. It works. The business puts money into our pockets.

To conclude, if you are really serious about becoming financially secure, you’ll take some time to find out what works for creating wealth. For us this has been two things: 1) investing in good stocks using a buy-and-hold strategy and 2) starting a small business.

Best,

James

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