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Preparing for Christmas

Christmas might be my favorite time of the year. In addition to the obvious reasons – presents, time off work, quality time with family and friends – the most appealing aspect of the holiday is the general lightness of the season. It seems like a lot of people are in good moods, and with my birthday just a couple weeks after Christmas, that good mood carries into the new year.

But the holiday season certainly has its share of stresses. My wife’s family will be in Texas, while my family still lives in Indiana. While my extended family lethargically makes plans for the holidays (they’ll get back to me next week), the price of plane tickets seemingly increases every day. In addition, there are presents to buy for everyone, decorations to purchase and display and a gigantic tuition check to issue at the beginning of the new year. It all adds up quite quickly, and it can be a bit overwhelming to say the least.
For those who lack travel requirements but still purchase Christmas presents, the price tag on the holidays can still be significant. According to the National Retail Federation, consumers are expected to spend on average $682 on presents this holiday season. While that may seem like a pretty high number, it is actually down 3.2% from last year, at levels close to where holiday spending was at the beginning of the decade.

Over the last 10 years, holiday spending had increased 4.4% annually. In 1999, consumers spend around $343.6 Billion on holiday gifts, and in 2008 they spend around $470.4 Billion, an increase of nearly $150 billion in just 10 years.

The expected decline in spending isn’t exactly welcome news to economists and administration officials who were clearly hoping that the minor growth momentum that the U.S. economy had managed to build (minus the unemployment figures) would carry through the holiday season and set our economy up for a strong 2010.

While the holiday season is still young, Black Friday spending may provide an interesting insight into how the rest of the month of December might turn out. The NRF reported an increase in the number of Black Friday shoppers – to 195 million shoppers, up from 172 million last year – but a decrease in the total sales figures.

Total spending topped $41.2 Billion, with an average of $343.31 spent per person, down from $372.57 spent by consumers last year. But more shoppers may be shifting the time at which they spend their money to what’s now being referred to as “Cyber Monday” – a day that saw an increase in traffic of 8%.

I think the most interesting piece of information to come out of those figures is the fact that more people are shopping and yet spending less money. This would seem to indicate that people are being smarter about what they buy, and are more willing to shop around for deals and sales. And those deals were certainly out there for those willing to put in the work to find them.
I’ve been hearing a lot lately about how our economy is on the rebound, but is there a better rough indicator out there for how our economy is doing than how we’re spending our money? The more comfortable you are from a personal finance perspective, the more comfortable you may be with spending your money, particularly during the holidays. A shaky sales estimate for this holiday season shows me that maybe we’re not quite back yet. Things may not be as bad as they were at this time last year, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the economy is as stable as some would like us to believe.
-Michael

More Fallout From the Madoff Disaster

One of the problems with the litigious nature of the Bernie Madoff Ponzi scheme issue revolves around how the losses incurred in the fraud are calculated. The current court-appointed trustee assigned to this case is calculating a loss as the total amount of money a individual put in to the scheme, minus the total amount of money they withdrew. Pretty straight-forward, right? That formula will return to the investor the exact amount of real money that they lost in the scheme. But some of the fraud victims have a problem with that formula.

These litigants want the account balance shown on their last statement from Madoff to be considered the amount of money they lost, despite the fact that those numbers were completly fabricated by Madoff and have no base in reality.

A few months ago – back in June – the litigants filed their complaint in a New York City federal bankruptcy court in an effort to force the trustee to use their stated account balance in their claims eligibility calculation.

In this situation, and in other similar investor fraud incidents, a litigant is considered eligible if they are determined to have suffered a loss under the fraud. If that is the case, then the Securities Investor Protection Corporation steps in and provides them up to $500,000 in coverage, including $100,000 in cash.

Any losses over $500,000 are compensated for by splitting up the fraud perpetrator’s assets seized by the court-appointed trustee (which is, in and of itself, a very complicated issue, particularly in the Madoff case). Because some of the victims withdrew money out of their investment accounts with Madoff that in total exceeded the amount of money they put in, they wouldn’t be considered eligible under how the trustee is currently determining eligibility. But by altering how a loss is determined, more victims would be eligible for coverage by the SIPC.

Obviously in that scenario, the SIPC would be compelled to doll out more money. The SIPC is not a government agency; it uses money it collects from it members – broker dealers – to pay out in the event of fraud. If, however, the SIPC is not able to cover the fraud payouts, they could use taxpayer money to make up for the loss.

If the changes proposed above are enacted, the required payouts could total Billions of dollars, a sum total that would certainly empty the SIPC coffers (the SIPC currently has less than $2 Billion in assets) and the federal government would certainly have to step in to cover the gap.

Therein lies the controversy; it would be a difficult task for someone to justify dramatically altering the current practices of the SIPC in order to cover.

I’ll certainly be tuning in to see how this turns out; but I don’t expect a resolution to come any time soon, especially because this particular complaint is wrapped up in a series of other complaints that have been levied as part of the litigation process.

Readers: how do you feel about this scenario? Certainly arguments can be made on either side of the issue, but I personally wouldn’t support changing the current practices of the SIPC.

-Michael

Things You Really Don’t Need

Hi Folks,

This posting fits under the category of needs vs. wants. Wants being things you might like to have but really don’t need.

For example, take this coffee holder by Magellan, it is designed to fit between the telescoping braces on your luggage handle. We think this is totally useless and illustrates the principle that if you want to be financially secure its good to not buy junk.

In fact, if you really evaluate it, the you could save a lot by skipping the coffee altogether as well. Though some might argue that the coffee will help to dull the pain of holiday travel.

Happy Holiday Travels!

James&Miel

The Richest Americans

This past September Forbes released their annual list of the 400 richest American citizens (“The Forbes 400“). After getting over the mild disappointment of not seeing my name on the list – 25 year old software engineers rarely crack the top 400 – I took a look at how the list was composed.

The most interesting thing that stuck out to me was the number of individuals in the top 50 with no formal advanced education. In the top 50, 10 people lack any education past high school, and another individual, Carl Icahn, dropped out of school once before returning and getting his Bachelor’s. This includes three people in the top 10; even the number one slot is occupied by the world’s most famous college drop-out, Bill Gates. Also, only two of those individuals inherited their fortunes – Christy’s Walton of Walmart fame and Frederik Meijer of the eponymous super-store chain.

That isn’t to say that I think advanced degrees are pointless. I think the greater idea here is the drive possessed by these individuals, who were willing to step out of the formal education system and were willing to work towards realizing their dream and investing in the strength of their ideas.
Which brings me to another point that I came to realize while going through the list. These individuals didn’t make their money by working for someone else. They are innovators; people who thought of a good idea and were willing to see that idea through to completion and were thus rewarded in a significant manner financially.

Obviously, many people have ideas they believe in that they see through to completion, that fail and never make them rich. But I admire anyone who is willing to take risks and invest in themselves by pursuing their dreams.

-Michael

An Accidentially Sent Email

Sometimes these Nigerian scammers crack me up. This one is too funny.

———————————————————–

Federal Reserve Bank of New York
33 Liberty Street
New York, NY 10045. USA.

ATTENTION BENEFICIARY,

We received a mandatory letter, from UN secreatry general Dr Banki Moon to credit 25 million Dollars to you. Because of your inheritance / contract fund which you have been waiting for long ago.

Is because of the way people are losing there fund that made the United Nation give the Federal Reserve Bank New York to be the only bank who can handle this transaction.

Your respond is required to get back to us with the following information below,

We are giving you two options on this transaction is either through ATM card or Wire

Transfer. If you want through Wire Transfer all you have to do is to fill the from below.

Option (A)

(1) Your full Name……………………………………………

(2) Name of your Bank:……………………………………..

(3) Account :……………………………………………………

(4) Shift Code:………………………………………………….

(5) Address of your Bank:……………………………………

Option (B)

1. Full name:………….

2. Your Current address:…….

3. Phone……….Mobile:……..

4. Your Age:…….Your Sex:………. Your current occupation.,

5. And your identification either inter/ passport or driver license.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke

EMAIL: bernanke001@gmail.com

You are advice to contact the above email urgently

CONGRATULATION IN ADVANCE.

Regards,

BEN .S. BERNANKE.

CHAIRMAN/GOVERNOR.
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
NEW YORK.

The End of Pennies?

This from TheStreet.com

“Pennies are unique for all the wrong reasons. For starters, money rarely makes people sad when they get more of it, but pennies do. It’s just more change you know you’ll have trouble using.

More significantly, there are nearly 3 billion pennies currently in circulation, yet for the last three years, pennies have actually cost more to manufacture than they are worth. (As the joke goes, one cent can’t even buy you a penny anymore.)

These may sound like trivia for cocktail conversations, but pennies could be seriously weighing down our economy precisely at a time when the economy can’t afford it.

According to one recent study cited in The New York Times, the penny “accounts for about 58.4 percent of all coins circulating out there, but only contributes 7.5 percent of the value.

Click here for the rest of the story.

Hat tip to Budgets are Sexy for the find.

DINKs December Net Worth: Up 26K

The tally has been made for our latest net worth, and things are looking pretty good. We are ever so close, hovering at the edge of reaching the elusive $400k benchmark that we were so close to meeting before the meltdown in the economy.

The short story is that our net worth increased by $26k since September, this a 7% increase during that time. Not half bad when you look at a couple of months.

What can we attribute this to? The simply answer is more of the same. Plugging along at maxing out Miel’s retirement, James making the occasional trips to the bank for a savings bond. That’s about it. Nothing complex.

Here are the details if you are interested in the fine print:

You can also see what our progress has looked like over time. We are looking forward to cresting over the $400k mark very soon!

Cheers,

Miel&James

Investment Gifts for the Holidays – Part II

Holidays and the closing of another year are a good time to think more extensively about improving your families bottom line. In this regard you might consider three options, these require more time and more money than the more traditional gifts features in our last post.

1) Open up a ROTH IRA for Your Children. If you have children who have some sort of earned income, it’s relatively simple to set up a ROTH IRA for them. Some might wonder if it makes sense to fund your child’s retirement, but the long term pay off of even some modest funding is substantial. For example if you fund your child’s IRA with $500 when the kid is 18, and the investment compounds at 5% per year, the final total would be $4,953 by that child’s retirement at 65. My money blog has a pretty good write up of the ins and out of this options, it’s worth have a look at for more information. Note that you can also get custodial accounts for all sorts of bank products, not just ROTH IRAs.

2) Consider Income Shifting. The holidays are a great time for estate planning, and if it benefits your financial situation, you might consider income shifting.

Income shifting works when one family member in a high tax bracket transferring property to a family member in a lower tax bracket, thus saving a substantial percentage on taxation of the asset. For example, if a family member appreciated in value, that taxpayer would have to pay taxes on that asset at the tax percentage for their bracket – let’s say it’s 33%. By shifting ownership of that stock to another family member, it would be taxed at the lowest bracket – a 10% capital gains tax.

Income shifting is generally utilized by higher income families who want to reduce their taxable income but who want to keep the wealth in the family. Its complex and probably should not be attempted without professional advice, but timing transfers for the holidays can be a nice treat. For more information on this, check bankrate.com or Concepts in Federal Taxation 2009.

3) Score Some Cheap Real Estate. A blogging colleague of ours put together a neat little ebay investment store. The coolest part about its that it generates results for listings for real estate on ebay that are selling for less than $5,000. So, if a loved one is really into real estate, you could pick him or her up a 1 or 2 acre lot, some desert land or even a super cheap house! One thing to keep in mind is that real estate selling for less than 5k is cheap for a reason – most of the time its not in a good part of the country. But, that said, it could be a fun fling for the holidays if you’ve got some extra money to spend.

Happy Holidays,

James

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