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Millions of Homeowners Underwater

Hi All,

It’s Wednesday. The big news this morning is that millions of Americans are underwater. According to Bloomberg is reporting that nearly 8.5 million American households own more on their mortgage than their homes are worth.

Here is an excerpt from the article.

An additional 2.2 million borrowers will be underwater if home prices decline another 5 percent, First American, a Santa Ana, California-based seller of mortgage and economic data, said in a report today. Households with negative equity or near it account for a quarter of all mortgage holders.” (here).

Of course, the upside to all of this is that its looking like a great time to buy real estate. Prices are significantly down off their highs from 2006. In particular, foreclosures are particularly affordable these days. This might be a great way to build your wealth because of the almost guarentees that the market will go up eventually.

Best,

James

Cost of Corruption in Africa

I figure that in the midst of meltdown it it is good to keep some perspective.

Roads are one of those things that you really don’t appreciate fully until you don’t have them
. The average American has no idea what luxury we have simply in that smooth pavement extending for virtual infinity.

Corruption is also something that feels very remote until you are in the midst of it. As I master the art of warning and termination letters it feels much closer to home.

I wanted to share a few observations about the roads in DRCongo.

First I need to point out that the roads in Bukavu DRC are horrible by any standards. This is a city that during colonial times had beautiful wide tree lined avenues. Now during the twenty minute ride to the office you can only shift into second gear twice on a good day. Otherwise it is nonstop potholes throughout the city; bouncing and jostling like none other.

The city is in the process of repairing one miniscule kilometer of road in town. Do you know what the pricetag is for that 1 kilometer?

$2.5 Million USD for one measly kilometer!

I might point out that by some estimates the average cost of a freeway in America is $1 Million dollars for one kilometer! You can only imagine where that money is going and what it might do to repair the rest of the roads in the city to at least drivable conditions. Very sad.


I don’t have any pictures of roads in Bukavu at the moment, but here is one outside of the city for some perspective. This was a seven hour one way trip through roads like this. This wasn’t even the worst part of the road! This truck was stuck in the way and we had to help it out to get around it. Amazingly we made it through the whole drive without getting stuck; thanks to an incredible driver that took the skill to a new level of sport! I’d post a video if the connection was good enough, but no luck there!

Cheers,

Miel

Down Down, Time To Buy?

Hi All,

Well, by now you’ve probably seen the news. The Dow had one of its worst days in decades. Here is a graph of the bloodletting (below).

Now, after a day like today, its natural to ask whether the market has hit bottom and if it makes sense to think about buying. At this point, all the data indicate that the economy will continue to be pressured at least until 2010.

However, if one compares current events against past recessions it also fair to conclude that current affairs are ugly, but they aren’t the end of the world. The number of bank failures in the 1930s was far greater. In addition, safety nets are much stronger now, also economic science has progressed a great deal since the 1930s. So, this depression is going to be rough, but in perspective its not the biblical end of days some fear mongers would like one to be believe.

Our plan for this year is to continue to purchase stocks. We see it as a tremendous opportunity to build our wealth as the overall wealth of America has depleted. We’ll let you know now things work out.

Best,

James

Media Deficit Abroad

Having recently surfaced from a several weeks of 14 hour work days I’m now in Burundi for a week of meetings. A welcome change in scenery but no respite from the continuing work from DRCongo as I serve as Acting Country Director.

After a recent deficit of media I was a bit overwhelmed this morning at the graveness of the news. I’d been following along James’ posts but when you realize that a stock like AIG that was worth $150 a year ago is now worth less than 50 cents – it kind of hits you.

To be honest it is hard not to just want to walk away from it all. It’s easy to be out of the loop working here in Africa, but the realities back home won’t be going away any time soon. I have a strong feeling that we better be prepared for it to get worse before it gets better.

Best,

Miel

Dealing With Job Transitions

Hi All,

The New York Times is calling American’s current economic conditions a full blown depression. With the economy melting down, some of you may be wondering what to do if your job is in jeopardy or you’re currently in job transition.

1) Before the Layoff:

Assume your income will drop. Even with unemployment payments, gifts or other kinds of supplemental income, you’ll probably face reduced bucks coming in. Consider cutting back on your budget to compensate. For example, when Miel had her most recent spell of job loss, we cut out some of our luxury food, charitable donations and eating out. If you’re looking at a spell of unemployment, don’t be afraid to thoroughly evaluate your budget.

2) Leaving:

There are several things things that you’ll probable deal with if you leave your employer.

A) Miscellaneous Benefits: If you have any of these, find out when your life, disability and health insurance benefits expire. If you have any unused sick or vacation time be sure you calculate it and get credited before you leave. Similarly, if are lucky enough to get stock options, you’ll want to be sure you find out when these are vested. It often pays to follow up on these BEFORE you leave, afterwords its harder to get peoples attention.

B) Health Insurance: In 1986 Congress passed the COBRA Act which said that employers with 20 or more people had to offer health insurance coverage for their departing employees. Most of the time this coverage period is 18 months. The catch is that even though they are offering coverage, after you leave, you’ll have to pay the full tab. It might be worth your time to look into this.

C) Managing your 401(k) balance:

Regarding 401ks and 403bs, you’ve got 4 options. They are:

1) Rollover To Your New Employer
2) Rollover To An IRA
3) Leave In Your Former Employers Plan
4) Take A Cash Distribution

One way to determine which option us best is by evaluating the performance of the securities held in your account. If your mutual funds are doing poorly you might want to roll them over. Generally speaking, your worst option is to take a cash distribution. You’ll be liable for taxes on the withdrawal and there are additional penalties. Schwab.com has a pretty good write up if you want more info.

3) Post Separation From Employment:

When you do decide to get back on the job market, you should keep in mind that many of your expenses may be tax deductible. Stuff like resume preparation costs, phone, fax, and travel can all be written off. There are some restrictions on this. For example, first time job seekers can’t take the deductions and you have to be looking for a job in the same field.

Looking for work doesn’t solve the immediate problem of reduced income. While its never really a good idea to balance multiple projects you could also consider taking on some free lance work in addition to your job search. If you’ve got marketable skills, you might consider something like elance.com or you can always try to pick up some extra money. This could allow you to bring in some cash so you don’t have to use all your wealth on basic necessities during your time of unemployment.

Finally, if you’re married, remember a job loss is stressful on both partners. You’ll likely go much further towards getting reemployed if you both find ways to motivate and nurture each other rather than fighting or backbiting.

Best,

James

How Much Does Your Family Eat In A Week?

Hi All,

Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the past few years, you’ve probably heard of Facebook. Well, if you get a chance, you might be interested in checking out Joao Batista’s series of Facebook pictures showing what people eat in a week. He’s got a great set of pictures from all over the globe: Mali, Chad, Canada, the US, Ecuador etc.

Whats also interesting is that it shows the cost in US dollars for family. The link is here (you’ll have to be logged into Facebook).

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