
Opening a savings account is usually one of the first step towards achieving your financial goals. If you ask anyone about the steps you need to take in order to get a hold of your finances the first they usually suggest is to get a hold of your spending (by creating a budget) and the second step is usually to establish an emergency fund. That emergency fund is often in the form of a (hopefully) high interest savings account. It's just money you can put away, not touch and watch slowly grow. You're less worried about achieving the highest possible rate of return but instead it's more focused on having a stable supply of money you can draw upon in order to weather unpredictable financial storms. And although there are other conservative investment vehicles that achieve the same goals as savings accounts, the flexibility and ease of use make them especially attractive.
But savings accounts can serve purposes larger than just emergency funds. Right now I have three savings accounts set up. I have an emergency fund (which, thankfully, I've finally managed to fully fund), one for the money that I'm saving for a down payment on a house and finally, a longer-term savings account that I'm using to accumulate money for a loftier goal: opening a bar with a friend of mine some time in the future. While those goals are all different, they share a common thread: they all contain money that I'm not expecting to need anytime in the near future and I'm comfortable with having a modest return in exchange for the security of that money always being there.
And that is the beauty of savings accounts. I focus a lot of my energy on investing. Tinkering with my 401(k), IRAs and brokerage accounts in order to maximize my investment return. There is higher risk involved, but with those accounts, I'm comfortable with taking those risks and occasionally taking losses so that I can enjoy non-trivial returns. But those accounts could lose a lot of their value; even the most careful planning can become moot if there's another stock market crash or I make a significant mistake resulting in an unfortunate loss. With that in mind, it's comforting to know that I have caches of money that are far more stable, and if I get in a financial pinch, I can draw upon them and be ok. They are my financial security blanket.
The United States is the most consumer-driven economy in the world, and it represents up to 2/3rds of our total economy. With that being the case, historically the personal savings rate (as a percentage of disposable income) has been in a state of general decline since the early to mid 80s. Before that, starting from the late 1940s, the personal savings rate had generally remained flat with a slight upwards trend. The data for the years surrounding World War II are an interesting case study in an of themselves, as the country saw people save their money during the war years before post-war spending sharply cut that percentage. The year 2005 saw the personal savings rate dip below 0% for the first time since 1933. This was at the height of the run-up to the mortgage crisis that lead to the economic recession we're currently digging ourselves out of. Probably the most interesting information comes from the last three years, during the aforementioned recession. At the beginning of that period the savings rate continued to drop as the initial hit of the economic crisis was felt and budgets tightened. However, 2008 saw a (relatively) sharp increase in savings, from a declining trend bottoming out at just over 1% in the 1st Quarter of 2008 to a rate of over 3% in the 2nd Quarter of 2008. A year later, in the 2nd Quarter of 2009, the personal savings rate jumped to nearly 5%. Many economists have suggested that this correlates to people weathering the initial storm, then taking stock of their financial situation and subsequently deciding to save more money. What will really be interesting is how those rates change as the recession continues and then when we do start our recovery. Will personal savings rates return to pre-recession lows, or will people decide to hedge against future economic downturns by saving more? That, of course, remains to be seen, but I will be monitoring it closely.
My savings has been pretty steady since I started working, even when I saw my incredible APY of around 4% cut to barely over 1%. Despite those irritating cuts, I'm still comfortable savings as much as I can - while hoping those rates eventually return to somewhere near those great rates I once enjoyed!
All data regarding the personal savings rate obtain from the U.S. Department of Commerce.
-Michael
Twitter: @michael_dink
Update: This post was feautered on The Carnival of Twenty Something Finance
[10/30/2009 08:16:00 AM
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10 comments
It's hard to have enthusiasm with interest rates so low.
My husband and I are DINKS and we have always been savers...we have always contributed at least 10% to our 401(k) and at least saved several hundred dollars a month. We were always mystified by our peers who were driving super fancy cars and couldn't understand how they could afford them. We now understand that they couldn't, they were living in the negative and building debt rather than living with a surplus...
John,
You are so right. I love buying savings bonds...only they were a lot more fun when the rate was at 6%, now they yield a dismal .70.
Yeah, it is hard getting motivated to save at 1% returns, so that's why you shouldn't think about the interest rate aspect at all when funding those Emergency Funds and so forth. That's not the purpose (returns), a safety buffer is.
How do you view 401K savings into your savings equation? Do you treat it as real, or as fake money? I ask, b/c in my Net Worth calculations, there's only one asset in it, and that is CASH. Everything else I treat as undependable.
Michael, you're taking over DINKS! Nice!
FS
I agree with FS on this one. With my savings accounts I almost view the interest I earn as a bonus; I try to get as much as I can but I don't sweat it if that isn't much. After all, that money is my safety net as opposed to an income generator. It's more important for it to always be there than it is for it to make me money.
I'm not certain about how to treat my 401k. I acknowledge it because it is there and it's money that I will be able to use one day but it's not really an asset that I can draw upon (or should draw upon, rather). If you think of Net Worth as a snapshot of your financial situation in that moment of time, 401k, IRAs and other retirement-specific accounts should probably be ignored as they aren't relevant until you retire at some point in the future.
FS, I'd be interested in your thoughts on Net Worth. Do you have like a flagship blog post explaining your thoughts on the Net Worth issue?
Wait Wait Wait Wait Wait!
You are totally forgetting one aspect of savings: inflation!
How does inflation factor into your savings? The longer your cash sits in a bank account the more purchasing power you are losing! Maybe that's not the reason our savings rate has been declining year after year, but it's a good reasons to not park cash in a savings account because it's actually losing money.
The dollar is slowly but surely moving to a value of zero. This will not change. If anything it will get much worse with the Federal Reserve's recent actions to "save" the economy. Inflation will hit us, we can't get away from it, and it will be ugly.
Peter Schiff believes the true inflation of the United States (not what the government has been telling us it is) is a lot closer to 8-10% than 4%. He has been telling us for the past decade to get out of the dollar and into investments that are exposed to other currencies. He's been proven incredibly accurate in that regard.
So why would you want to park cash in a dollar savings account? You surely are losing value each day. Why do you not put it in the Canadian dollar or some other currency?
David - I see what you're saying, and inflation is arguably the biggest argument against savings account. If your rate of return is less than the rate of inflation, then obviously, you are losing purchasing power. But again, increasing purchasing power isn't the ultimate goal here. Savings accounts allow you to keep your money safe and compartmentalized in a manner where if you need access to in a relatively quick manner, you can do so. The loss of purchasing power is made up for by the fact that this is your fail safe, your last resort.
As far as the foreign currency argument is concerned, I recognize the validity in what you're saying, but aren't all currencies susceptible to inflation and the associated devaluation? And historically, which currency has been stronger than the U.S. dollar?
I'm not opposed at all to having investments that are exposed to a foreign currency; I have holdings that do that. But I still think that a savings account is still the best option for the purposed that I've stated before.
Michael,
I won't stretch out this argument any further, as obvioulsy this could end up being a long discussion of the U.S. dollar, the federal reserve, inflation, etc. and obvioulsy you were trying to make a simple point: have cash available for emergencies.
Personally I am much more situational than historical. For example maybe the "invest in the stock market and over time you will compound your returns" might have held water over the past 80 years (which I would disagree with, as Schiff would back me up on that claim) but does that mean TODAY and in today's economic and global envirnment, is that the best option? Arguably not.
I don't know how much you have dug into currencies, I became interested over the past summer after reading Schiff's books and doing financial analysis the past school year and seeing how it affects companies like Coca-Cola. Would be interested in even a short post about it in the future!
-David
Point taken, David. And I've got a post on inflation and one on currencies in the works so I look forward to hearing your thoughts on both subjects!
It took me a few years before I had my "emergency" savings fund setup, yet that being said, once it was in place it was a HUGE relief. Not that I'm necessarily more careless with my spending now, because I'm not, but it certainly helps to put your mind at ease knowing you don't have to go paycheck to paycheck in fear anymore.
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