Thursday, April 03, 2008

How Do You Turn A Thousand Dollars Into Three Million?

Ask William Nickerson!

I was in the San Francisco airport waiting for a flight last week when I found a synopsis of Nickerson's "How I turned $1,000 into Three Million in Real Estate - In My Spare Time". If you don't know about Nickerson, he is one of the 1960's original real estate gurus. The synopsis of his book was great, so I wanted to share Nickersons ideas with our readers.

Nickerson's main idea is that you can make a ton of money in real estate using a hybrid savings, renovation and flipping approach. As near as I can tell, it has the following steps:

1) Save enough money for a 25% down payment.

2) Buy a rental property that needs some renovation. Hold onto the property for a couple of years, use your savings and rental income to paint and renovate it while its still rented. Sell the place for a 40% mark up.

3) Take your equity and buy a small 4 unit apartment building that requires renovation. Over the next two years invest approximately 1/6th of your equity, along with any net rental income to renovate the property while still renting it out.

4) Sell the 4 unit for a 40% mark up. Take your profits after paying off the loans and sales commissions. Your profit and equity should have increased incrementally.

5) Take your equity, savings and profit and buy an 8 unit property. After the usual renovations sell the property two years later for a 30% mark up.

6) Rise and repeat.

Using 1969 dollars Nickerson figured that one could transform $39,000 into 1.2 millon over a 20 year period via this system. After 20 years he argued that you could relax and enjoy the rental income while earning a reasonable six percent return.

According to Nickerson's book, this should work if you don't diverge from some core principles

1) Don't borrow more than you can repay from your rents.
2) Only buy properties in need of renovation.
3) Only make improvements that increase a property's value.
4) Keeping selling at a profit and reinvesting your profits.

Well you're probably thinking that this sounds all very well in theory, but isn't investing risky? According to Nickerson, the risk is lessened because real estate retains its intrinsic value even in difficult times. He also notes that banks and insurance companies are more willing to lend on real estate rather than to sole proprietor businesses, so its easier to get funding.

His book sells for 70 dollars on Amazon so its probably a good bet its got enduring value.

Best,

James

6 comments:

Will said...

Sound real estate investing advice. It sure is a change from all those late-night infomercials that promise overnight riches!

Anonymous said...

Yeah but this isn't simple investing, this is a JOB!!.

Being a landlord, renovating properties... It's a lot more than just a $39k investment, it's a whole lot of time and work as well.

For a fair comparison, what is the opportunity cost? What kind of second job could you get that would equal the amount of time you put into landlording? That's the comparison to make. Let's not forget the quality of life issues, the hassel factor of landlording and renovation. How much is that added stress going to cost you in medical bills? failed marriage?

Not saying you shouldn't do it or its bad, just showing there's a lot more to consider. I have tremendous repect for those who have done this succesfully.

I have known people who do do this. For the succeful ones, it usually starts out as a side line to their jobs, but if they are reasonably succeful, then they start doing it 'full-time' as their main job.

I'm a bit too risk adverse to do this myself, more so for the time sink and quality of life issues than the $$ ones.

Dual Income No Kids said...

Hi Will,

Thanks for the note. I've been considering buying the actual book. The insight aside very few popular books can command that kind of price, so its got to be good.

Dual Income No Kids said...

@ Anon,

Good point. I think that generally the idea is a good one, but in some markets it would not be a good idea to invest. For example I've heard that some properties in Florida have declined by 50% from their market highs in 02'. I wouldn't want to be holding real estate in that market for any money.

Living Off Dividends & Passive Income said...

where the hell did you find that book?

i was looking for it a few years ago and it was selling for $200 on ebay!

Dual Income No Kids said...

@ Living,

I found a summary of it in a book called "50 Prosperity Classics" in the San Francisco airport.

Best,

James